1. Identity statement | |
Reference Type | Journal Article |
Site | mtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br |
Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3PFBJAS |
Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2017/08.18.18.22 (restricted access) |
Last Update | 2017:08.18.18.22.07 (UTC) administrator |
Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2017/08.18.18.22.07 |
Metadata Last Update | 2021:03.06.05.21.38 (UTC) administrator |
DOI | 10.1007/s11069-017-2889-0 |
ISSN | 0921-030X |
Citation Key | CasagrandeTomAlvBotCar:2017:EaFlWa |
Title | Early flood warning in the Itajaí-Açu River basin using numerical weather forecasting and hydrological modeling |
Year | 2017 |
Month | Sept. |
Access Date | 2024, July 27 |
Type of Work | journal article |
Secondary Type | PRE PI |
Number of Files | 1 |
Size | 1751 KiB |
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2. Context | |
Author | 1 Casagrande, Leandro 2 Tomasella, Javier 3 Alvalá, Regina Célia dos Santos 4 Bottino, Marcus Jorge 5 Caram, Rochane de Oliveira |
Resume Identifier | 1 2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHE3 3 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ59 |
Group | 1 CST-CST-SESPG-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 2 COCST-COCST-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR |
Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastre Naturais (CEMADEN) 4 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastre Naturais (CEMADEN) 5 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastre Naturais (CEMADEN) |
Author e-Mail Address | 1 leandro.casagrande@cemaden.gov.br 2 javier.tomasella@inpe.br |
Journal | Natural Hazards |
Volume | 88 |
Number | 2 |
Pages | 741-757 |
Secondary Mark | A1_ENGENHARIAS_I A2_GEOGRAFIA A2_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I B1_INTERDISCIPLINAR B1_GEOCIÊNCIAS |
History (UTC) | 2017-08-18 18:22:07 :: simone -> administrator :: 2017-08-18 18:22:08 :: administrator -> simone :: 2017 2017-08-18 18:22:45 :: simone -> administrator :: 2017 2017-08-22 19:37:24 :: administrator -> simone :: 2017 2017-12-11 18:17:23 :: simone -> administrator :: 2017 2021-03-06 05:21:38 :: administrator -> simone :: 2017 |
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3. Content and structure | |
Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
Content Stage | completed |
Transferable | 1 |
Content Type | External Contribution |
Version Type | publisher |
Keywords | Natural disasters Flooding H-EPS MHD-INPE |
Abstract | In recent decades, population growth associated with unplanned urban occupation has increased the vulnerability of the Brazilian population to natural disasters. In susceptible regions, early flood forecasting is essential for risk management. Still, in Brazil, most flood forecast and warning systems are based either on simplified models of flood wave propagation through the drainage network or on stochastic models. This paper presents a methodology for flood forecasting aiming to an operational warning system that proposes to increase the lead time of a warning through the use of an ensemble of meteorological forecasts. The chosen configuration was chosen so it would be feasible for an operational flood forecast and risk management. The methodology was applied to the flood forecast for the Itajaı´-Ac¸u River basin, a region which comprises a drainage area of approximately 15,500 km2 in the state of Santa Catarina, Brazil, historically affected by floods. Ensemble weather forecasts were used as input to the MHD-INPE hydrological model, and the performance of the methodology was assessed through statistical indicators. Results suggest that flood warnings can be issued up to 48 h in advance, with a low rate of false warnings. Streamflow forecasting through the use of hydrological ensemble prediction systems is still scarce in Brazil. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time this methodology aiming to an operational flood risk management system has been tested in Brazil. |
Area | CST |
Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > COCST > Early flood warning... |
Arrangement 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção pgr ATUAIS > CST > Early flood warning... |
doc Directory Content | access |
source Directory Content | there are no files |
agreement Directory Content | |
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4. Conditions of access and use | |
Language | en |
Target File | casagrande_early.pdf |
User Group | simone |
Reader Group | administrator simone |
Visibility | shown |
Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft12 |
Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 |
Update Permission | not transferred |
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5. Allied materials | |
Linking | 8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3KJ2J95 |
Mirror Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2013/09.26.14.25.22 |
Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H 8JMKD3MGPCW/449U4PL |
Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.58.46 3 sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/03.06.05.18 2 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.50.34 2 |
Dissemination | WEBSCI |
Host Collection | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2013/09.26.14.25.20 |
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6. Notes | |
Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarytype url |
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7. Description control | |
e-Mail (login) | simone |
update | |
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