| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3MPQ6DL | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/11.11.16.24 | |||
| Last Update | 2016:11.11.16.24.57 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2016/11.11.16.24.57 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2021:07.28.21.54.24 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.1371/journal.pone.0161323 | |||
| ISSN | 1932-6203 | |||
| Citation Key | DevisscherAndAraGalMal:2016:InWiRi | |||
| Title | Increased wildfire risk driven by climate and development interactions in the bolivian Chiquitania, southern Amazonia  | |||
| Year | 2016 | |||
| Month | Sept. | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 18 | |||
| Type of Work | journal article | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 3026 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Devisscher, Tahia 2 Anderson, Liana O. 3 Aragão, Luiz Eduardo Oliveira e Cruz de 4 Galvan, Luis 5 Malhi, Yadvinder | |||
| Group | 1 2 3 DSR-OBT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 University of Oxford 2 University of Oxford 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 4 Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México 5 University of Oxford | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 tahia.devisscher@ouce.ox.ac.uk 2 3 luiz.aragao@inpe.br | |||
| Journal | PLoS One | |||
| Volume | 11 | |||
| Number | 9 | |||
| Pages | e0161323 | |||
| Secondary Mark | A1_ZOOTECNIA_/_RECURSOS_PESQUEIROS A1_SAÚDE_COLETIVA A1_QUÍMICA A1_ODONTOLOGIA A1_NUTRIÇÃO A1_MEDICINA_VETERINÁRIA A1_MEDICINA_III A1_MEDICINA_II A1_MEDICINA_I A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_GEOGRAFIA A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_FARMÁCIA A1_ENGENHARIAS_III A1_ENGENHARIAS_I A1_ENFERMAGEM A1_EDUCAÇÃO_FÍSICA A1_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A1_CIÊNCIAS_AGRÁRIAS_I A1_CIÊNCIA_DE_ALIMENTOS A1_CIÊNCIA_DA_COMPUTAÇÃO A1_BIOTECNOLOGIA A1_BIODIVERSIDADE A1_ADMINISTRAÇÃO,_CIÊNCIAS_CONTÁBEIS_E_TURISMO A2_PSICOLOGIA A2_PLANEJAMENTO_URBANO_E_REGIONAL_/_DEMOGRAFIA A2_MATERIAIS A2_MATEMÁTICA_/_PROBABILIDADE_E_ESTATÍSTICA A2_ENGENHARIAS_IV A2_ECONOMIA A2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_III A2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_II A2_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A2_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA B1_EDUCAÇÃO B3_SERVIÇO_SOCIAL B3_LETRAS_/_LINGUÍSTICA B3_CIÊNCIAS_SOCIAIS_APLICADAS_I B3_ANTROPOLOGIA_/_ARQUEOLOGIA C_ENGENHARIAS_II | |||
| History (UTC) | 2016-11-11 16:24:57 :: simone -> administrator :: 2016-11-11 16:24:57 :: administrator -> simone :: 2016 2016-11-11 16:25:32 :: simone -> administrator :: 2016 2021-07-28 21:54:24 :: administrator -> simone :: 2016 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Abstract | Wildfires are becoming increasingly dominant in tropical landscapes due to reinforcing feed-backs between land cover change and more severe dry conditions. This study focused on the Bolivian Chiquitania, a region located at the southern edge of Amazonia. The extensive, unique and well-conserved tropical dry forest in this region is susceptible to wildfires due to a marked seasonality. We used a novel approach to assess fire risk at the regional level driven by different development trajectories interacting with changing climatic conditions. Possible future risk scenarios were simulated using maximum entropy modelling with presence-only data, combining land cover, anthropogenic and climatic variables. We found that important determinants of fire risk in the region are distance to roads, recent deforestation and density of human settlements. Severely dry conditions alone increased the area of high fire risk by 69%, affecting all categories of land use and land cover. Interactions between extreme dry conditions and rapid frontier expansion further increased fire risk, resulting in potential biomass loss of 2.44 +/- 0.8 Tg in high risk area, about 1.8 times higher than the estimates for the 2010 drought. These interactions showed particularly high fire risk in land used for 'extensive cattle ranching', 'agro-silvopastoral use' and 'intensive cattle ranching and agriculture'. These findings have serious implications for subsistence activities and the economy in the Chiquitania, which greatly depend on the forestry, agriculture and livestock sectors. Results are particularly concerning if considering the current development policies promoting frontier expansion. Departmental protected areas inhibited wildfires when strategically established in areas of high risk, even under drought conditions. However, further research is needed to assess their effectiveness accounting for more specific contextual factors. This novel and simple modelling approach can inform fire and land management decisions in the Chiquitania and other tropical forest landscapes to better anticipate and manage large wildfires in the future. | |||
| Area | SRE | |||
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDSR > Increased wildfire risk... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| data URL | http://mtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3MPQ6DL | |||
| zipped data URL | http://mtc-m21b.sid.inpe.br/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34P/3MPQ6DL | |||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | devisscher.PDF | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Reader Group | administrator simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Archiving Policy | allowpublisher allowfinaldraft | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Mirror Repository | urlib.net/www/2011/03.29.20.55 | |||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3ER446E | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/09.13.21.11 1 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; MGA; SCOPUS. | |||
| Host Collection | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21b/2013/09.26.14.25.20 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn keywords label lineage mark nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project readpermission resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||