1. Identity statement | |
Reference Type | Journal Article |
Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br |
Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/442M2H8 |
Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2021/01.20.13.13 (restricted access) |
Last Update | 2021:01.20.13.13.21 (UTC) simone |
Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2021/01.20.13.13.22 |
Metadata Last Update | 2022:04.03.22.28.02 (UTC) administrator |
DOI | 10.1016/j.gecco.2020.e01441 |
ISSN | 2351-9894 |
Citation Key | AnjosSouAmaIgaTol:2021:FuPrTe |
Title | Future projections for terrestrial biomes indicate widespread warming and moisture reduction in forests up to 2100 in South America |
Year | 2021 |
Month | jan. |
Access Date | 2024, May 19 |
Type of Work | journal article |
Secondary Type | PRE PI |
Number of Files | 1 |
Size | 1222 KiB |
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2. Context | |
Author | 1 Anjos, Luciano J. S. 2 Souza, Everaldo Barreiros de 3 Amaral, Calil Torres 4 Igawa, Tassio Koiti 5 Toledo, Peter Mann de |
Resume Identifier | 1 2 3 4 5 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JJ46 |
Group | 1 2 3 4 5 DIIAV-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR |
Affiliation | 1 Universidade Federal Rural da Amazônia (UFRA) 2 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) 3 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) 4 Universidade Federal do Pará (UFPA) 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) |
Author e-Mail Address | 1 luciano.anjos@ufra.edu.br 2 3 4 5 peter.toledo@hotmail.com |
Journal | Global Ecology and Conservation |
Volume | 25 |
Pages | e01441 |
History (UTC) | 2021-01-20 13:14:27 :: simone -> administrator :: 2021 2022-04-03 22:28:02 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021 |
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3. Content and structure | |
Is the master or a copy? | is the master |
Content Stage | completed |
Transferable | 1 |
Content Type | External Contribution |
Version Type | publisher |
Keywords | CMIP6 scenarios Temperature increase Moisture loss Climatic crisis |
Abstract | Terrestrial biomes are the main reservoirs of biodiversity and CO2 on the planet. In South America, they play a crucial role in climate regulation and biodiversity conservation. Despite scientific advances and recent efforts, there is still no detailed analysis of trends in surface air temperature and precipitation changes until the end of the 21st century and magnitude of change for South Americas terrestrial biomes. In this study, we used the annual mean of temperature and annual cumulative precipitation variables provided by WorldClim (version 2.1) from an ensemble of five Global Circulation Models from the most recent simulations of the CMIP6 project. We used four-time intervals between 2020 and 2100, combined at two climatic trajectories (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5), to map climate change scenarios trend magnitude in South America. Also, we evaluate the exposure level of the nine terrestrial biomes according to their respective vegetal cover densities. Our results indicate that in the two possible futures evaluated (SSP2-4.5 & SSP5-8.5), the terrestrial biomes of South America would be exposed to climatic conditions that are not analogous to the current ones. The results indicate a persistent and long-term annual temperature trend increase, indistinctly for all terrestrial biomes and a significant moisture reduction in forest biomes. The consolidation of such climate scenarios can make potentially modify water and carbon cycling patterns and promoting biodiversity loss, mainly at forest biomes, with probably more severe effects under the pessimistic scenario. |
Area | CST |
Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Future projections for... |
doc Directory Content | access |
source Directory Content | there are no files |
agreement Directory Content | |
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4. Conditions of access and use | |
Language | en |
Target File | anjos_future.pdf |
User Group | simone |
Reader Group | administrator simone |
Visibility | shown |
Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 |
Update Permission | not transferred |
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5. Allied materials | |
Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE |
Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2022/04.03.22.23 2 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.58.16 1 |
Dissemination | WEBSCI; SCOPUS. |
Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 |
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6. Notes | |
Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url |
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7. Description control | |
e-Mail (login) | simone |
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