| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34T/44TS6NH | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2021/06.24.11.58 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2021:06.24.11.58.54 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2021/06.24.11.58.54 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2022:04.03.22.27.23 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.1007/s41748-021-00233-6 | |||
| ISSN | 2509-9434 | |||
| Citation Key | AlmazrouiAIRKAOIRSAATSHDSKNSREMMACS:2021:AsCMPe | |||
| Title | Assessment of CMIP6 Performance and Projected Temperature and Precipitation Changes Over South America  | |||
| Year | 2021 | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 19 | |||
| Type of Work | journal article | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 9041 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Almazroui, Mansour 2 Ashfa, Moetasim 3 Islam, M. Nazrul 4 Rashi, Irfan Ur 5 Kamil, Shahzad 6 Abid, Muhammad Adnan 7 O'Brien, Enda 8 Ismail, Muhammad 9 Reboita, Michelle Simões 10 Sorensson, Anna A. 11 Arias, Paola A. 12 Alves, Lincoln Muniz 13 Tippett, Michel K. 14 Saeed, Sajjad 15 Haarsma, Rein 16 Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J. 17 Saeed, Fahad 18 Kucharski, Fred 19 Nadeem, Imran 20 Silva-Vidal, Yamina 21 Rivera, Juan A. 22 Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar 23 Martinez-Castro, Daniel 24 Munoz, Angel G. 25 Ali, Md Arfan 26 Coppola, Erika 27 Sylla, Mouhamodou Bamba | |||
| Group | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 DIIAV-CGCT-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 King Abdulaziz University 2 Oak Ridge National Laboratory 3 King Abdulaziz University 4 Climate Change Impact and Integration Cell (CIIC) 5 Climate Change Impact and Integration Cell (CIIC) 6 International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) 7 Irish Centre for High-End Computing 8 King Abdulaziz University 9 Universidade Federal de Itajubá (UNIFEI) 10 Universidad de Buenos Aires 11 Universidad de Antioquia 12 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 13 Columbia University 14 International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) 15 Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institut (KNMI) 16 Institució Catalana de Recerca I Estudis Avançats (ICREA) 17 Climate Analytics 18 International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) 19 University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences 20 Instituto Geofísico del Perú 21 Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales (IANIGLA) 22 The Earth Institute At Columbia University 23 Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones en Glaciares y Ecosistemas de Montaña, Huaraz 24 Instituto Nacional de Investigaciones en Glaciares y Ecosistemas de Montaña, Huaraz 25 University of Information Science and Technology (NUIST) 26 International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) 27 African Institute for Mathematical Science | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 mansour@kau.edu.sa 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 lincoln.alves@inpe.br | |||
| Journal | Earth Systems and Environment | |||
| Volume | 5 | |||
| Pages | 155-183 | |||
| History (UTC) | 2021-06-24 12:10:20 :: simone -> administrator :: 2021 2022-04-03 22:27:23 :: administrator -> simone :: 2021 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Keywords | Climate change CMIP6 Global climate models South America | |||
| Abstract | We evaluate the performance of a large ensemble of Global Climate Models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) over South America for a recent past reference period and examine their projections of twenty-first century precipitation and temperature changes. The future changes are computed for two time slices (20402059 and 20802099) relative to the reference period (19952014) under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs, SSP12.6, SSP24.5, SSP37.0 and SSP58.5). The CMIP6 GCMs successfully capture the main climate characteristics across South America. However, they exhibit varying skill in the spatiotemporal distribution of precipitation and temperature at the sub-regional scale, particularly over high latitudes and altitudes. Future precipitation exhibits a decrease over the east of the northern Andes in tropical South America and the southern Andes in Chile and Amazonia, and an increase over southeastern South America and the northern Andesa result generally consistent with earlier CMIP (3 and 5) projections. However, most of these changes remain within the range of variability of the reference period. In contrast, temperature increases are robust in terms of magnitude even under the SSP12.6. Future changes mostly progress monotonically from the weakest to the strongest forcing scenario, and from the mid-century to late-century projection period. There is an increase in the seasonality of the intra-annual precipitation distribution, as the wetter part of the year contributes relatively more to the annual total. Furthermore, an increasingly heavy-tailed precipitation distribution and a rightward shifted temperature distribution provide strong indications of a more intense hydrological cycle as greenhouse gas emissions increase. The relative distance of an individual GCM from the ensemble mean does not substantially vary across different scenarios. We found no clear systematic linkage between model spread about the mean in the reference period and the magnitude of simulated sub-regional climate change in the future period. Overall, these results could be useful for regional climate change impact assessments across South America. | |||
| Area | CST | |||
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção a partir de 2021 > CGCT > Assessment of CMIP6... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | Almazroui2021_Article_AssessmentOfCMIP6PerformanceAn.pdf | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Reader Group | administrator simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46KUATE | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2022/04.03.22.23 2 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; SCOPUS. | |||
| Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository month nextedition notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||