@Book{RobinneBKFKGWS:2018:SuNoGl,
editor = "Robinne, Fran{\c{c}}ois Nicolas and Burns, Janice and Kant,
Promode and Flannigan, Mike D. and Kleine, Michael and Groot, Bill
de and Wotton, D. Mike and Setzer, Alberto Waingort",
title = "Global fire challenges in a warming world: summary note of a
Global Expert Workshop on Fire and Climate Change",
publisher = "IUFRO",
year = "2018",
address = "Vienna",
keywords = "global fire, warming world, climate change.",
abstract = "Today, catastrophic wildfires are increasingly common across the
globe. Recent disasters have attracted media attention and
strengthened the perception of wildfires as bad events, a plague
worsened by climate change that has yet to be eradicated. Although
it is true that fire has a destructive potential, the reality of
global fire activity depicts a much more complex picture in which
fire can be a useful, if not necessary, tool for food security and
the preservation of cultural landscapes, as well as a an integral
element of many ecosystems and their biodiversity. Global fire
activity is shaped by diverse social, economic, and natural
drivers influencing the fire environment. The culminating
complexity of these factors defines in turn the likelihood of a
landscape to burn and the potential positive or negative outcomes
for communities and ecosystems that can result from a blaze.
Although many regions remain understudied, the effects of ongoing
climate change associated to other planetary changes are already
visible, transforming fire activity in ways that are not well
understood but that will likely be dramatic, with potential dire
consequences to nature and society in case of adaptation failure.
Based on the limited available statistics, there is a growing
trend in the costs of wildfires. On top of human lives that are
lost to the flames or smoke and the billions of dollars imputable
to firefighting and insurance coverage, the growing interest in
costs linked to healthcare, business stability, or the provision
of ecosystem services such as drinking-water indicates negative
economic consequences impacting countries GDP and social
stability. Attempts to evaluate the future costs of wildfire
disasters point at a worsening situation, yet the list of possible
social and economic effects is likely incomplete and the magnitude
of envisaged impacts is likely conservative. Notwithstanding the
difficulties inherent to global climate modeling, there is a
scientific consensus on the future increase in the frequency of
fire-conducive weather associated with drier ecosystems, a mix
that will eventually result in more frequent and intense fire
activity. When combined with an ever-growing world population and
unsustainable land uses, the conditions leading to fire disaster
will only be intensified. Although fire governance has
historically advocated for fire suppression, a No Fire motto is
not an option anymore in the new fire reality. Current policies
aiming at total fire suppression have been shown to be detrimental
and are therefore outdated. The key to wildfire disaster risk
reduction in a changing world now lies in learning to live with
fire. Investments in international cooperation, integrated
management, local community involvement, cutting-edge
technologies, and long-term data collection are critically needed
to ensure the future of fire disaster risk mitigation. Moreover,
future land development policies must prioritize the protection
and the restoration of natural and cultural landscapes that have
been degraded by the inappropriate use of fire or, conversely, by
historical fire exclusion; keeping a place for fire in forest
resource management and landscape restoration has been shown to be
a cost-effective and efficient solution to reduce fire hazard.",
affiliation = "{} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {Instituto
Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
language = "en",
pages = "60",
targetfile = "op32.pdf",
urlaccessdate = "03 maio 2024"
}