@Article{SoaresCaliSilvNovo:2021:EvHyMo,
               author = "Soares, Laura Melo Vieira and Calijuri, Maria do Carmo and Silva, 
                         Talita Fernanda das Gra{\c{c}}as and Novo, Evlyn M{\'a}rcia 
                         Le{\~a}o de Moraes",
          affiliation = "{Universidade de S{\~a}o Paulo (USP)} and {Universidade de 
                         S{\~a}o Paulo (USP)} and {Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais 
                         (UFMG)} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Climate change enhances deepwater warming of subtropical 
                         reservoirs: evidence from hydrodynamic modelling",
              journal = "Climatic Change",
                 year = "2021",
               volume = "166",
               number = "21",
                pages = "1--19",
                 note = "{Setores de Atividade: Pesquisa e desenvolvimento 
                         cient{\'{\i}}fico.}",
             keywords = "Hydrodynamics, Climate forcing, Thermal Structure, Temporal 
                         Trends.",
             abstract = "Lake surface warming and thermal responses to climate change have 
                         been widely reported, especially in temperate regions. Evidence of 
                         reservoir response in low latitudes is still limited. In this 
                         study, the vertical profile of water temperature in the Barra 
                         Bonita Reservoir (Brazil) is simulated using the one-dimensional 
                         General Lake Model (GLM), calibrated, and validated using in-situ 
                         data. Water temperature and reservoir hydrodynamics are simulated 
                         over 26 years (19932018) to investigate warming trends, seasonal 
                         patterns, Schmidt stability, and the number of stratified days per 
                         year. Results indicate that the reservoir has experienced 
                         significant warming since 1993 related to increasing air 
                         temperature and decreasing wind speed. Water temperature increases 
                         (p value <0.001) from the surface (+ 1.02 °C per decade) to the 
                         bottom (0.33 °C per decade). Higher warming rates are detected 
                         during the dry and cold season. Significant increasing trends are 
                         found for Schmidt stability and in the number of stratified days 
                         per year. Deepwater warming is directly related to increasing air 
                         temperature and frequent mixing episodes which transfer heat from 
                         surface to bottom waters. A deep outlet structure and an 
                         artificially controlled water level may enhance deepwater warming 
                         during the dry season. Our findings contribute to the 
                         understanding of subtropical reservoirs response to climate change 
                         and help to guide planning strategies for ensuring the security of 
                         water storage and ecosystem services they provide.",
                  doi = "10.1007/s10584-021-03124-x",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03124-x",
                 issn = "0165-0009",
                label = "lattes: 9857505876280820 4 SoaresCarmGra{\c{c}}Mora:2021:EvHyMo",
             language = "en",
           targetfile = "soares_climate.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "03 maio 2024"
}